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Thursday, February 21, 2008

Asian stocks up on rate cut hopes; commodities hot
Stocks rallied on Thursday as solid earnings and expectations of further US interest rate cuts outweighed worries about inflation even as oil hit a record high above $101 a barrel. Gold also hit a record above $945 an ounce, and silver touched a 27-year high, as funds poured into a wide range of commodities, betting they will outperform in an environment where growth is slowing and prices are rising.

Data on Wednesday showed a faster-than-expected rise in US consumer prices last month and further weakness in the housing market there.

"The US is entirely focused on the economic data that is coming out and we're getting revised forecasts for their economic growth in the downward trend," said Savanth Sebastian, equities economist at CommSec in Sydney. "(The Federal Reserve) will have to cut rates and the possibility of that is boosting sentiment."

The weak housing market and problems in the credit market prompted the Fed to lower its 2008 US economic growth forecasts on Wednesday, with analysts interpreting comments as paving the way for further reductions in borrowing costs. Japan's benchmark Nikkei rose 2.1 per cent, trimming most of Wednesday's losses, while MSCI's index of other Asian stocks gained 1.2 per cent by 0247 GMT.

Since tumbling more than 10 per cent in January, Asia stocks have endured choppy, volatile trade and investors are wary of calling an end to that. "It's like a Japanese saying about a winter season around this time; three cold days and four warm days," said Katsuhiko Kodama, senior strategist at Toyo Securities.

Taiwan stocks rose 1.6 per cent, in line with Hong Kong, but Shanghai fell more than 2 per cent on concerns about further new share issues flooding the market. Australian stocks added 1 per cent, helped by solid earnings from phone company Telstra, pallet maker Brambles and national carrier Qantas.

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