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Wednesday, June 18, 2008

The Sensex had a better week

The Sensex had a better week when compared to the previous one, with a good

support at the 15,000.00 levels. The Sensex after losing 5 percent last week, lost

another 2.5 percent this week to close at 15,189.00 and the Nifty lost the same

4,517.00. Midcap and Smallcap indices performed relatively well sliding by 1.5

percent each. Interest rate hike by the RBI took its toll on the Realty and Banking

stocks. The sectoral index for Realty sector ended down by 9 percent and banking

lost 3 percent for the week.IT as a sector lost nearly 5.5 percent on fears of US

recessions and Nasscom's comments that the growth of IT exports might drop by 3-4

percent. Healthcare , which is considered a defensive sector in turbulent times in the

market was the top gainer inching up by nearly 4.6 percent. News of Japanese

pharma major Daiichi Sankyo buying out the promoters stake in Ranbaxy has

propelled the pharma stocks. Analysts expect some more acquisitions in this space in

the coming years, as foreign companies are looking at increasing their generic drug

portfolio to boost their profitability and diversify their product portfolio. Stocks closed

lower in 4 of 5 trading sessions this week, with Monday being the worst day with

Sensex losing more than 500 points. Thursday was the only 'green' day for the

Sensex as the indices made a smart recovery on higher growth in industrial output.

The much awaited interest rate hike happened this week as the RBI raised the

interest rate by 25 basis points from 7.75 to 8.00 percent. Inflation numbers

continue to make new highs as the new numbers came in at 8.7 percent which is the

highest since 2001.FII's after selling equities worth Rs 33bn last week sold Rs 35 bn

in equities this week, continuing their selling spree.

Wall Street had relatively a better week when compared to the domestic indices.The

Dow industrial gained 0.8%, the S&P 500 0.05% and the Nasdaq ended in the red

with a loss of 0.8% for the week. The decline in crude prices, strengthening dollar

and encouraging economic data helped the indices recover towards the end of the

week. The key for the markets from here is the direction of Crude prices and the

Fed's meeting in the coming week, which might give us an idea about the Fed's plan

for more interest rate hikes in the future to combat inflation.

Key Events for the coming week:

* Some more Q4 numbers.

US Markets:

* Tuesday - Industrial Production numbers

* Wednesday - Crude Oil and gasoline supply date

* Thursday - Jobless benefits data


Stocks to Watch in the coming week

* Finolex Ind - Rs 63.00

* Zee Entertainment- Rs 220.00

* Zee News - Rs 52.00

* Aurobindo Pharma - Rs 329.0

* Solar Explosives- Rs 390.00

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