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Friday, December 26, 2008

Believe it or not: Oil cheaper than packaged water

Back-of-the-envelope calculations show that a litre of petrol costs about Rs 11 and diesel about Rs 13, excluding transportation and sundry other charges etc. In contrast, you pay Rs 12-15 for a one-litre bottle of water.

Here's how the arithmetic goes: A barrel of crude oil contains about 190 litres. At $38 a barrel, the current price in the international market, each litre of crude works out to Rs 10, taking the
exchange rate at Rs 50 to a dollar.

On an average, approximately 28-29 litres of petrol and 85 litres of diesel are refined from each barrel of crude.
Admittedly, this figure can vary according to the type of crude being processed and the technology deployed in a refinery. So how much would the price of a litre of motor fuel be after incurring the cost of refining, if there were no other charges?

The calculation is so mind-boggling that sometimes even executives of oil marketing companies get confused by the myriad central and state
taxes - levied at incremental rates - and complex charges such as "freight equalisation levy'' and dealer margins, etc. Such levies taken together constitute 45-55% of the sale price of petrol or diesel.

So if petrol costs a little over Rs 45 a litre in Delhi pumps, taxes and levies make up about Rs 22 and another Rs 12 constitutes the oil-marketing firm's
profit. That leaves a basic cost of about Rs 11 per litre. Similarly, at Rs 32 a litre - the Delhi price of diesel - the actual cost can be taken as Rs 13 as the companies are making a profit of almost Rs 3 a litre.

These calculations are admittedly simplistic and do not take into account other products such as kerosene, jet fuel, cooking gas, naphtha, etc., that are produced along with petrol and diesel and have a bearing on the final cost of each product. However, there won't be big difference between these figures and the figures worked out by the industry.

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Economic Event Calendar

GMT+5:30 Event Vol. Actual Consensus Previous
Wednesday, Apr 09
22:30 10-Year Note Auction 1 4.435% 4.310%
23:30 FOMC Minutes 3
Thursday, Apr 10
02:20 Fed's Hammack speech 2
03:00 Fed's Kashkari speech 2
04:31 RICS Housing Price Balance 1 2% 8% 11%
15:30 RBA Governor Bullock speech 3
18:00 Initial Jobless Claims 4-week average 1 223K
18:00 Initial Jobless Claims 2 223K 219K
18:00 Continuing Jobless Claims 1 1.880M 1.903M
18:00 Building Permits (MoM) 1 -0.8% -3.2%
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