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Thursday, December 18, 2008

Lower inflation no boost mkts; Sensex ends above 10K

Better than expected decline in inflation numbers and expectations of further rate cuts from the Reserve Bank played a key role in today's trade. Huge buying in rate sensitive, infrastructure, technology, and oil boosted the benchmark indices higher. The Sensex successfully closed above the 10,000 mark after 24 sessions and similer was the case with the Nifty, which settled above 3050 level.

Inflation for the week ended December 6 came in at 6.84% as against 8% on week-on-week basis. This was better-than-expected, as CNBC-TV18 poll saw inflation at 7.46%. Wholesale price Index (WPI) for all commodities fell 1.1% (WoW) to 231.1 and WPI for fuel and power index down 3.7% (WoW). Such an unexpected fall indicates that there may be rate cut in near term.

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Economic Event Calendar

GMT+5:30 Event Vol. Actual Consensus Previous
Wednesday, Jul 09
20:00 EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change 1 7.070M -2.000M 3.845M
22:30 10-Year Note Auction 1 4.362% 4.421%
23:30 FOMC Minutes 3
Thursday, Jul 10
04:15 Visitor Arrivals (YoY) 1 6.1% 18.8%
04:31 RICS Housing Price Balance 1 -7% -8% -7% Revised from -8%
18:00 Initial Jobless Claims 4-week average 1 241.5K
18:00 Initial Jobless Claims 2 235K 233K
18:00 Continuing Jobless Claims 1 1.980M 1.964M
19:30 Fed's Musalem speech 2
20:00 EIA Natural Gas Storage Change 1 56B 55B
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