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Thursday, December 18, 2008

Lower inflation no boost mkts; Sensex ends above 10K

Better than expected decline in inflation numbers and expectations of further rate cuts from the Reserve Bank played a key role in today's trade. Huge buying in rate sensitive, infrastructure, technology, and oil boosted the benchmark indices higher. The Sensex successfully closed above the 10,000 mark after 24 sessions and similer was the case with the Nifty, which settled above 3050 level.

Inflation for the week ended December 6 came in at 6.84% as against 8% on week-on-week basis. This was better-than-expected, as CNBC-TV18 poll saw inflation at 7.46%. Wholesale price Index (WPI) for all commodities fell 1.1% (WoW) to 231.1 and WPI for fuel and power index down 3.7% (WoW). Such an unexpected fall indicates that there may be rate cut in near term.

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Economic Event Calendar

GMT+5:30 Event Vol. Actual Consensus Previous
Friday, Jun 20
18:00 Fed's Waller speech 2
18:00 Raw Material Price Index 1 -0.4% -0.8% -3.3% Revised from -3.0%
18:00 Industrial Product Price (MoM) 1 -0.5% 0.0% -0.8%
n/a Fed Monetary Policy Report 2
22:30 Baker Hughes US Oil Rig Count 1 438 439
Sunday, Jun 22
22:45 Fed's Daly speech 2
Monday, Jun 23
04:30 S&P Global Services PMI 2 50.6
04:30 S&P Global Manufacturing PMI 2 51
04:30 S&P Global Composite PMI 2 50.5
12:30 Fed's Waller speech 2
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