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Tuesday, April 13, 2010

RBI seen tightening policy further

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) is expected to further tighten its monetary policy, R. Gopalan, secretary for financial services in the finance ministry, said on Tuesday.

India's rising inflation has kept markets betting on another interest rate rise next week.

Investors have already priced a 25-basis point rate rise at the central bank's policy review on April 20 after it raised rates last month.

"I share the views of some experts that some further amount of tightening is required," Gopalan told reporters

A pick up in the economy has seen a rise in inflation with the headline number expected to have breached 10 percent in March, for which the data is due on Thursday.

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) had cited increased capacity utilisation as one of the principal factors driving up inflation and analysts expect the central bank to try to cool demand until companies boost their potential output.

However, Gopalan stressed the need for the central bank to strike a balance between containing inflation and supporting growth.

"But there is an issue of growth. They (central bank) have to make a balance (between growth and inflation)," he said.

India, the world's second fastest growing major economy after China, is expected to grow 8.5 percent in the current fiscal year and 9 percent in 2011/12.

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Economic Event Calendar

GMT+5:30 Event Vol. Actual Consensus Previous
Wednesday, Jun 11
20:00 EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change 1 -3.644M 0.100M -4.304M
22:30 10-Year Note Auction 1 4.421% 4.342%
23:30 Monthly Budget Statement 2 $-316B $-325B $258B
Thursday, Jun 12
04:15 Electronic Card Retail Sales (MoM) 1 -0.2% 0.0%
04:15 Electronic Card Retail Sales (YoY) 1 0.9% -0.3% -0.3%
04:31 RICS Housing Price Balance 1 -3% -3%
06:30 Consumer Inflation Expectations 2 4.1%
11:30 Industrial Production (MoM) 2 -0.5% -0.7%
11:30 Manufacturing Production (MoM) 2 -0.8% -0.8%
11:30 Industrial Production (YoY) 1 -0.2% -0.7%
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