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Monday, February 9, 2009

FY09 GDP seen growing by 7.1%: Govt

India's scorching economic growth is estimated to slow sharply in the current fiscal year ending next month due to weak performance of the agriculture and manufacturing sectors, the Government said on Monday. However, the forecast by the Central Statistical Organisation (CSO) is still better than economists' consensus projection.

The Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is estimated to have grown by 7.1% in the year ending March 31, 2009 as against a healthy 9% expansion in the previous financial year, the CSO said today.

Agriculture sector is likely to grow by 2.6% versus 4.9% in the year ended March 2008. Manufacturing is forecast to have expanded by 4.1% compared to 8.2% in the year 2007-08. Servicss is expected to maintain a strong growth at 9.6% versus 10.9% in the previous fiscal year.

Mining is estimated to grow at 4.7% as against 3.3% in the year ended March 31, 2008. Construction growth is seen at 6.5% compared to 10.1% last year while Financial Services sector is expected to grow by 8.6% versus 11.7% in the last financial year.

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Economic Event Calendar

GMT+5:30 Event Vol. Actual Consensus Previous
Wednesday, Apr 09
23:30 FOMC Minutes 3
Thursday, Apr 10
02:20 Fed's Hammack speech 2
03:00 Fed's Kashkari speech 2
04:31 RICS Housing Price Balance 1 2% 8% 11%
06:30 Consumer Inflation Expectations 2 4.2% 3.6%
15:30 RBA Governor Bullock speech 3
18:00 Initial Jobless Claims 4-week average 1 223K
18:00 Continuing Jobless Claims 1 1.880M 1.903M
18:00 Initial Jobless Claims 2 223K 219K
18:00 Building Permits (MoM) 1 -0.8% -3.2%
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